Alan Fraser Houston
Money Tips
Money Management, Money Tips, Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise

Mortgage rates are continuing to move higher this week. We’ve now seen them rise for two consecutive weeks in the Freddie Mac PMMS. The consensus is for them to continue rising for the foreseeable future. Read on for more details.

Where are mortgage rates going?                                             

Mortgage rates rise in the Freddie Mac PMMS again

Mortgage rates have moved higher for the second straight week according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS). Here are the numbers:

  • The average rate on the 30-year fixed rate mortgage moved two basis points higher to 4.54% (0.5 points)
  • The average rate on a 15-year fixed rate mortgage ticked up two basis points to 3.99% (0.4 points)
  • The average rate on a 5-year adjustable rate mortgage moved up eight basis points to 3.93% (0.3 points)

Here is what Freddie Mac’s Economic and Housing Research Group had to say about mortgage rates this week:

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage inched higher for the second straight week.

Borrowing costs may be slowly on the rise again in coming weeks, as investors remain optimistic about the underlying strength of the economy. It’s important to note that mortgage rates are now up three-quarters of a percentage point from last year and home prices – albeit at a slower pace – are still outrunning rising inflation and incomes.

This weakening in affordability is hindering many interested buyers this fall, even as the robust economy brings them into the market. The good news is that purchase mortgage applications have recently rebounded to above year ago levels.”

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Rate/Float Recommendation                                    

Lock now before rates move even higher         

Mortgage rates have risen these past few weeks and that trend is expected to continue over the coming months as the Federal Reserve gets ready to, and does, increase the nation’s benchmark interest rate.

If you are planning to buy a home or refinance your current mortgage, we strongly recommend that you lock in a rate sooner rather than later. The longer you wait, the more likely it is that you’ll get a higher rate.

Learn what you can do to get the best interest rate possible.  

Today’s economic data:             

ADP Employment Report

The ADP employment report showed 163,000 jobs added to the U.S. economy in August.

Jobless Claims

Applications filed for unemployment benefits in the U.S. came in at 203,000 for the week of 9/1/18. That’s 10,000 fewer than the previous week, bringing the four-week moving average to 209,500.

Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm productivity rose 2.9% Q/Q in the second quarter of 2018. Unit labor costs fell 0.1%.

PMI Services Index

The PMI Services Index came in at 54.8 for August.


San Francisco Fed President John Williams is set to speak at 10:00am.

Factory Orders

Factory orders fell 0.8% month over month in July.

ISM Non-Mfg Index

The ISM Non-Mfg index hit a 58.5 in August, up a little from July.

EIA Petroleum Status Report

For the week of 8/31:

  • Crude oil: -4.3 M barrels
  • Gasoline: 1.8 M barrels
  • Distillates: 3.1 M barrels

Notable events this week:     


  • Markets Closed


  • PMI Manufacturing Index
  • ISM Mfg Index
  • Construction Spending


  • Fedspeak


  • ADP Employment Report
  • Jobless Claims
  • Productivity and Costs
  • PMI Services Index
  • Fedspeak
  • Factory Orders
  • ISM Non-Mfg Index
  • EIA Petroleum Status Report


  • Employment Situation
  • Fedspeak

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Money Management, Money Tips

How Refinancing Affects Real Estate Taxes

How Refinancing Affects Real Estate Taxes

When you refinance your home, the process is similar to the one you followed when obtaining your original mortgage. Your finances will be verified and calculated, and your home will be appraised to determine its value to your potential lender. However, PennyMac also has many streamline products that don’t require income or asset verification. There are also products that do not require an appraisal. As a result of a refinance, it’s common for your monthly payment and even your total loan amount to change — but will your property taxes go up?

The short answer is, “No.” Your property taxes will not go up if you refinance, but let’s dig a little deeper in order to clear up any confusion or concerns.

Ready to refinance now? Check out our many refinancing options here! You’ll also find the tools and answers to common questions to help determine the best choice for you.

Appraisal, Purchase Price, and Assessment

To understand this topic completely, it’s first important to know that there are three ways that a value can get assigned to your home: your appraisal, your purchase price, and your assessment. The following demonstrates how each is defined.

Appraisal — Your lender won’t fund a loan for more than your house is worth. This is how they protect their investment in you: they want to make sure that your home is sufficient collateral. In other words, they need to know your home is worth an amount equal to (or more than) the amount of money they are lending you. In some cases the lender will determine the value of your house by ordering an appraisal as part of the homebuying process — and again when you look to refinance into a new loan. Some products do not require an appraisal to refinance.

Purchase Price — Most homebuyers are able to buy their homes for an amount equal to or less than the appraisal price. In very competitive markets, buyers may pay more than the appraised value of a home in order to “beat” other interested buyers. As borrowers typically can’t secure a loan for an amount higher than the appraised value, this is usually done via a larger down payment or by buying a home without a loan.

Assessment — Your assessment is the value that your city, county, or other municipality has determined that your home (and the land it occupies) is worth. Typically updated on an annual basis, your assessment is the only one of these three numbers that is used to determine your property tax amount.

Very few homeowners will have an appraisal, purchase price, and an assessment that all match exactly. However, these three numbers are typically fairly close, unless you are in a competitive or otherwise unique real estate market.

Learn more about home buying in competitive markets in our interview with housing industry experts.

How Your Property Tax is Calculated

There are two numbers used to calculate the total amount that you pay in property taxes each year: your assessment and your tax rate. If your home is assessed at $300,000, and your tax rate is 3 percent, you’ll pay $9,000 a year in property tax. Your property taxes will only go up if your rate or assessment amount increases, and refinancing your home (including the appraisal) does not impact either of these numbers.

The only way that you can connect the refinance process to your property tax amount is as a type of forecast or prediction. If you are in a hot real estate market with rapidly increasing home values, an appraisal amount that is much higher than your assessed value can be seen as a warning that your assessment (and therefore your property tax amount) may increase in the future.

This prediction is not always accurate or instant, however. Assessment value changes occur at a much slower rate than housing market prices, and are typically only adjusted once per year. In addition, many municipalities have laws regarding how much property taxes can be increased within a specific amount of time.

Refinance Fearlessly

If you’ve been hesitant to start the refinance process because you’re worried your property taxes will increase, you can put those fears to rest. Refinancing won’t impact your property taxes, and it offers many other benefits that can help you reach your financial goals. Explore your refinancing options by starting with our online application or contact a PennyMac Loan Officer today!


Money Management, Money Tips

Rates Under Pressure Despite Weak Jobs Report

Economic data is traditionally one of the key contributors to interest rate movement. Of the regularly-scheduled reports, none has more market-moving street cred than The Employment Situation–otherwise known as “the jobs report” or simply NFP (due to its headline component: Non-Farm Payrolls). The relationship between econ data and rates can wax and wane. Covid definitely threw a wrench in the works, and economists still don’t know exactly how things will shake out. In general, the market is trading on the assumption that things continue to improve even if the data isn’t making that case today. In fact, today’s jobs report specifically suggests something quite different . The economy only created 49k new jobs in January, and the last few reports were revised much lower to boot. Taken together


Money Management, Money Tips

Conforming Loan Standards Loosened in January

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Access to mortgage credit increased again in January. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) rose 2.0 percent to 124.6. A decline in the MCAI indicates that lending standards are tightening, while increases in the index are indicative of loosening credit. The two components of the Conventional MCAI posted significant increases. The Conforming MCAI jumped 7.7 percent and the Jumbo component was up 2.2 percent, pushing the parent index up 4.8 percent compared to December. This was slightly offset by an 0.1 percent decline in the Government MCAI. “The growth in credit availability in January coincides with a housing market that is poised for a strong start to the year . Improvements were driven by the conventional segment of the mortgage market…(read more)

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Money Management, Money Tips

Overcoming Loan Rejections

You were all set to buy that new car or house. You may have even picked out the cherry-red convertible or the Cape Cod with the spacious yard — until your bank stopped you in your tracks.

Your loan has been denied, and now you’re not sure what to do.

It’s a pretty common scenario, and unfortunately, there isn’t always a quick solution.


Money Tips, Mortgage News

You Can Now Request COVID-Related Mortgage Forbearance for Up to 15 Months

Some good news this morning for homeowners continuing to struggle to make ends meet thanks to COVID-19, which as the name implies has been going on for a while now. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, has just announced an extension to the COVID forbearance period, which was [&hellip

The post You Can Now Request COVID-Related Mortgage Forbearance for Up to 15 Months first appeared on The Truth About Mortgage.